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Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
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Author | Dongxiao Niu Jialiang Lv |
Copyright Year | 2008 |
Description | Author affiliation: Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding (Dongxiao Niu; Jialiang Lv) |
Abstract | As the power load forecasting sequence has stochastic growth and nonlinear wave characteristics, grey neural network model can effective reflect the growth properties of the sequence and fit the nonlinear relation. Markov chain can easily embody the random characteristic of system by complex factors, so the Markov chain error correction method was introduce in this paper, the whole forecasting precision of the sequence was optimized, and the transfer matrix for the forecasting sequence was decided, then the accuracy for power load forecasting was greatly improved. Through the demonstration test, the precision is better than ingenuous grey neural network, the method in this paper have feasibility in practice. |
Starting Page | 202 |
Ending Page | 205 |
File Size | 235779 |
Page Count | 4 |
File Format | |
ISBN | 9780769534022 |
DOI | 10.1109/ICRMEM.2008.36 |
Language | English |
Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
Publisher Date | 2008-11-04 |
Publisher Place | China |
Access Restriction | Subscribed |
Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
Subject Keyword | Optimization methods Stochastic processes Predictive models 1) model Power system modeling markov chain GM (1 Intelligent networks BP neural network Load forecasting Neural networks Error correction Risk management Research and development management Power load |
Content Type | Text |
Resource Type | Article |
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