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Content Provider | IEEE Xplore Digital Library |
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Author | Zhao Wanhua Liu Ruiyu |
Copyright Year | 2008 |
Description | Author affiliation: Civil Dept., Wuhan Polytech. Univ., Wuhan (Liu Ruiyu) || Econ. & Manage. Sch., Wuhan Univ., Wuhan (Zhao Wanhua) |
Abstract | Take economic net present worth as the appraisal target to measure the engineering project investment risk, confirmed main factor for risk analysis as well as the variable probability distribution type from the financial appraisal aspect. Then established the investment risk analysis model by integrated the random variable random number production method with it. And determined the simulation times from the statistical theory. Finally, elaborated how to carry on the risk analysis to the simulation result. Using the Monte Carlo simulation technology may obtain many and more comprehensive statistical information, thus the decision-maker may acquire more comprehensive understanding to the investment plan, in order to be advantageous in making the best decisions. In addition, the Monte Carlo method also has the characteristic of simple and easy to operate. Therefore, this article thought the Monte Carlo simulation is one of quite effective methods to the engineering construction project investment risk research. |
Starting Page | 407 |
Ending Page | 411 |
File Size | 136316 |
Page Count | 5 |
File Format | |
ISBN | 9780769534350 |
DOI | 10.1109/ICIII.2008.312 |
Language | English |
Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
Publisher Date | 2008-12-19 |
Publisher Place | Taiwan |
Access Restriction | Subscribed |
Rights Holder | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, Inc. (IEEE) |
Subject Keyword | Analytical models Data analysis Investments Innovation management Probability distribution Appraisal Random variables Information management Risk analysis Mathematical model |
Content Type | Text |
Resource Type | Article |
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